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回撤與延伸水平、畫法,以及如何搭配其他工具。

開始本章節8 課 · 1 個工具

課程

  1. 01What are Fibonacci retracement levels?Fibonacci retracement levels are lines drawn at fixed percentages of a price move to mark how deep a pullback has gone. The usual levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6%. The middle three get the most attention, but the evidence that price turns at them more than anywhere else is weak.
  2. 02How to draw Fibonacci retracements.In an uptrend, draw a Fibonacci retracement from the swing low to the swing high, so the levels sit below the high. In a downtrend, draw from the swing high to the swing low, so the levels sit above the low. Use the clear extremes of one completed move, wick to wick.
  3. 03Combining Fibonacci with support and resistance.Combining Fibonacci with support and resistance means checking whether a retracement level sits on a price the market has reacted to before, such as an old high. When the two line up within a few pips, traders call it a confluence zone and watch it more closely. Price can still break straight through a zone.
  4. 04Combining Fibonacci with trend lines.A Fibonacci retracement offers several levels where a pullback might stop. A trend line through earlier swing lows, or swing highs in a downtrend, narrows the choice: watch the level the line crosses around the time price returns to it. That meeting point is a zone of interest, and price can still break through it.
  5. 05Combining Fibonacci with candlestick patterns.Combining Fibonacci with candlesticks means waiting for a reversal candle, such as a hammer or an engulfing pattern, to close at a retracement level before you enter. The level shows where a pullback might stop, and the candle shows buyers or sellers stepping in. The cost is a later entry, and the signal still fails often.
  6. 06Fibonacci extensions for profit targets.A Fibonacci extension projects how far a trend might run after a pullback. You measure the first swing, multiply it by ratios such as 61.8%, 100% and 161.8%, and add each result to the low of the pullback. Traders use the levels as possible take-profit targets, with no guarantee that price reaches them.
  7. 07Placing stops with Fibonacci levels.A Fibonacci stop goes beyond the next retracement level past your entry, plus a small buffer for the spread and noise. Buy at 50% and the stop sits under 61.8%; sell at 50% and it sits above 61.8%. Then cut the lot size so the wider stop still risks only the money you planned.
  8. 08Fibonacci cheat sheet.Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% of the last swing, drawn from swing low to swing high in an uptrend. Extensions such as 127.2% and 161.8% project targets. A single level is weak evidence, so look for confluence, and stops usually sit beyond the level or the swing.

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