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Divergence cheat sheet.

Divergence is a mismatch between price and an oscillator such as RSI. Regular divergence (price makes the new extreme, the indicator does not) hints that a trend may turn. Hidden divergence (the indicator makes the new extreme, price does not) hints that a trend may continue. Bullish types compare lows, bearish types compare highs. Neither is reliable alone.

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Divergence comes in four versions with easily confused names. Each compares two swing points on price with the same two points on a momentum oscillator, such as the RSI or the MACD.

What are the four types of divergence?

Bullish divergence always compares two swing lows, and bearish divergence two swing highs. The question is which line makes the new extreme: price or the oscillator.

TypePriceOscillatorWhat it suggestsUsual setting
Regular bullishLower lowHigher lowDowntrend may be losing momentumAfter a fall
Regular bearishHigher highLower highUptrend may be losing momentumAfter a rise
Hidden bullishHigher lowLower lowUptrend may resumePullback in an uptrend
Hidden bearishLower highHigher highDowntrend may resumeBounce in a downtrend

In the sketches, the dashed lines on price and oscillator always slope opposite ways.

Four small charts: regular bullish shows price making a lower low while the indicator makes a higher low, regular bearish shows price making a higher high while the indicator makes a lower high, hidden bullish shows price making a higher low while the indicator makes a lower low, and hidden bearish shows price making a lower high while the indicator makes a higher high.
Bullish types join two lows and bearish types join two highs; the dashed lines always slope opposite ways.

The last column matters too: a hidden bullish pattern in a clear downtrend has no uptrend to continue.

How do you tell regular from hidden?

Regular divergence means price makes a new extreme and the oscillator does not, suggesting the move is losing momentum and may turn.

Hidden divergence is the mirror image: the oscillator makes the new extreme and price does not. It usually ends a pullback inside a trend and suggests the trend may carry on.

Two questions sort any case. Lows mean bullish and highs mean bearish. If price went further, it is regular; if the oscillator did, it is hidden.

Try USD/JPY in a downtrend. Price makes a high at 151.80, then a lower high at 151.20, 60 pips lower since a yen pip is 0.01. The RSI reads 58, then 64.

Highs mean bearish and the oscillator went further, so this is hidden bearish divergence: the downtrend may resume.

What to check before you call a divergence

  1. Use clear swing points: a swing low has higher lows on both sides, a swing high lower highs (see the market structure lesson).
  2. Line up the points: the oscillator's swing should sit under the same candles, within a bar or two.
  3. Compare closes with closes, or wicks with wicks. The RSI is calculated from closes, so closes keep both lines on the same footing.
  4. Wait for the second swing to finish, which means every divergence is seen a few bars late.
  5. Fix your settings. RSI 14 and RSI 7 can disagree on the same chart, and so can the MACD line and histogram.
  6. Decide in advance what confirms the signal, such as a break of the swing point between the two.

A worked example: regular bullish divergence on EUR/USD

Prices are round and illustrative, and the entry rule is an example with no proven edge.

On a 4-hour EUR/USD chart, price falls to a swing low at 1.08200, where the 14-period RSI reads 28. Price bounces to 1.08600, then falls again.

The second low is 1.08050. That is 1.08200 minus 1.08050 = 0.00150, a lower low by 15 pips. The RSI there reads 34, a higher low by 6 points.

Lows mean bullish and price went further, so this is regular bullish divergence.

EUR/USD line chart with lows at 1.08200 and 1.08050 joined by a dashed line marked lower low, a break level at 1.08600, and an RSI 14 panel below with lows at 28 and 34 joined by a dashed line marked higher low.
Price went 15 pips lower while the RSI low was 6 points higher: regular bullish divergence.

The example rule enters on a break of 1.08600, the swing high between the lows, using a buy stop order, explained in the order types lesson.

Size it from the stop, in a USD account:

  1. Stop at 1.08000, five pips below the second low: 1.08600 minus 1.08000 = 0.00600, or 60 pips.
  2. Risk budget: 1% of a $5,000 account is $50.
  3. Per pip: $50 ÷ 60 = $0.833. A 0.01 lot of EUR/USD is $0.10 per pip, so round down to 0.08 lot, $0.80 per pip.
  4. Risk at the stop: 60 × $0.80 = $48. At 0.09 lot it would be $54, over budget.
Trade plan with an entry line at 1.08600, a stop line at 1.08000, an arrow marking 60 pips between them, and the sizing sums: 1% of $5,000 is $50, 0.08 lot is $0.80 per pip, and 60 times $0.80 is $48 at risk.
The stop distance and the risk budget set the size, here 0.08 lot.

These sums ignore spread and slippage, so the real loss could exceed $48 slightly. The lot size calculator repeats step 3 for other pairs. If price never reaches 1.08600, you cancel the order.

Where divergence fails

Divergence measures momentum, and momentum can fade while a trend carries on. In a strong uptrend the RSI can make several lower highs while price keeps climbing, with no turn at all.

It gives no timing either: it says momentum slowed, not when or whether price will turn.

The reading is also subjective. Two traders can mark different swings on one chart and reach opposite conclusions.

There is little solid public evidence that divergence alone predicts price well enough to profit after costs. Backtest your exact rules on your pair and timeframe before risking money on it.

Questions fréquentes

What is the difference between bullish and bearish divergence?

Bullish divergence compares two swing lows and hints at a move up. Bearish divergence compares two swing highs and hints at a move down.

Which indicator is best for spotting divergence?

None has been shown to be best. RSI, MACD and the stochastic all measure momentum, so pick one and keep its settings fixed.

Is hidden divergence more reliable than regular divergence?

There is no solid evidence either way. Hidden divergence follows the existing trend, so it fails when that trend is ending.

What timeframe should I use for divergence?

Any timeframe works. Lower timeframes show many more divergences, each usually covering a smaller move.

Can divergence appear without a reversal?

Yes, especially in a strong trend. Treat it as a reason to watch, and always know where your stop loss is.

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